This section includes analyses and evaluations of which party participants would prefer to vote for if an election were held today, who they want to lead Türkiye, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:If an election were held today, which party would you vote for? (direct choices and undecide
The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there was an election today, who they want to govern Türkiye, the possible Presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and the analysis and evaluation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and
Voter tendenciesParty preferencesDistribution of undecided votersLeadership preferencesPresidential election scenariosErdoğan–İmamoğlu comparisonReport card for Recep Tayyip ErdoğanEvaluation of presidential performanceErdoğan's reelection prospectsElection outcome expectationsPerceptions of Turkey's futurePolitical polarizationAnalysis of election scenarios
April'25 Barometer - 163
₺
30 Apr 2025
1'22"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there was an election today, who they want to govern Türkiye, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and analysis and evaluations of the report card grades of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and CHP Chairman Özgür Özel:Which party would you vote for if there was an election
March'25 Barometer - 162
₺
31 Mar 2025
1'20"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there were an election today, who they want to govern Turkey, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and an analysis and evaluation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:Which party would you vote for if there were an election today? (direct preference and s
February'25 Barometer - 161
₺
28 Feb 2025
37"
Political Preferences
The section analyzes and evaluates which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they would like to govern Turkey and th
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey, their expectations for ea
PoliticsVote preferenceElectionErdoganRTEPresidentPresident Recep Tayyip ErdoganErdogan report cardEarly electionConstitutional amendmentWho should govern Turkey?Devlet BahceliEkrem İmamogluFatih ErbakanMansur YavasMüsavat DervisogluOzgur OzelSelahattin DemirtasUmit OzdagBarometer160
December'24 Barometer - 159
₺
31 Dec 2024
1'57"
Political Preferences
The chapter covers which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want governing Turkey, the change in party bases according to voter clusters and President Erdoğan's report card. The section also includes Prof. Hasan Kirmanoğlu's analysis of the Ak Parti and CHP voter clusters.
ElectionLeadersRecep Tayyip ErdoğanEkrem ImamogluDevlet BahçeliFatih ErbakanMansur YavaşMüsavat DervişoğluÖzgür ÖzelSelahattin DemirtaşÜmit ÖzdağPresidential ElectionPolitical PartiesWho Should Govern Turkey?
KONDA Barometer 2024 Almanac
₺
31 Dec 2024
1'05"
How did KONDA Barometer spend the year 2024?
As we leave the year behind, we wanted to take stock of how KONDA Barometer spent the year 2024. Since March 2010, KOND
AlmanacBarometer
November'24 Barometer - 158
₺
30 Nov 2024
1'11"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey and President Erdoğan's report card:Which party
If there were an election todayWho should govern TurkeyDevlet BahçeliFatih ErbakanMansur YavaşÖzgür ÖzelMüsavat DervişoğluRecep Tayyip ErdoğanSelahattin DemirtaşÜmit ÖzdağPresidencyElectionPresidential ElectionPolitical LeadersLeadersErdoğan's report cardReport cardPresident's report cardEkrem İmamoğlu
July'24 Barometer - 155
₺
31 Jul 2024
1'24"
Political Preferences
This section examines participants' voting preferences if an election were held today, as well as their evaluations of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Min
Recep Tayyip ErdoğanHasan KirmanoğluVote PreferenceMehmet Şimşek report cardErdoğan's report cardPresidentMinister of Treasury and FinanceInflationEconomyGovernanceDuty
July'24 Barometer - 155
₺
31 Jul 2024
1'21"
Analysis of Political Party Leaders' Speeches
This section analyzes the speeches of political party leaders in parliament and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's post-cabinet meeting statements using the "d
The section includes participants' preferred political party if an election were held today, their self-placement on the left-right political spectrum, and t
This section presents discourse analyses conducted using the "dictionary method" on parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and speeches delivered
Recep Tayyip ErdoğanErdoğanAKPDevlet BahçeliMHPMeral AkşenerİYİPDEMHDPÖzgür ÖzelCHPSpeech analysisDiscourse analysisPolitical leadersSpeech analysis of leadersDiscourse analysis of leadersSpeeches by leadersPresidentPresident ErdoğanAK PartyGood PartyDEM PartyPopulismTerrorMigrationEmploymentEconomyTurkeyTurkishNationalistTrusteeTrusteeshipHakkari
May'24 Barometer - 153
₺
31 May 2024
31"
Current Politics
The section examines how well known the newly elected chairman Müsavat Dervişoğlu is in the eyes of the society after the resignation of İyi Party Chairperson Meral Akşener from the party:Do you know who the new chairman of the Iyi Parti is?How will the newly elected Iyi Parti chairman affect the party votes?
Current politicsİyi PartyMusavat DervisogluMeral AksenerLeadersLeader changeChairpersonChairperson change
May'24 Barometer - 153
₺
31 May 2024
18"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today and President Erdoğan's report card.Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)What is your report card grade on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's performance as president?
May'24 Barometer - 153
₺
31 May 2024
35"
Comparative Advantage, Political Polarization and Economic Voting
Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu evaluates political polarization in Turkey by analyzing KONDA's monthly data from March 2012 to May 2024:Comparative advantage of swing voters for CHP voters over Ak Parti voters.
The section analyzes the discourse in the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's speeches following the cabinet meetings using the “dictionary method”:Populism scores of political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of 8 different topics in political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of the topics
The section examines tactical voting in the March 31st Local Elections, satisfaction with vote choice, and the time when vote choice is decided. Also, Assistant Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz from Bryn Mawr College Assoc. Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz discusses the voters who broke away from the Ak Parti -MHP bloc:In the March 31st Local Elections, which party's candidate did you vote for for the
Local ElectionsMarch 31stCHPTactical VoteVote behaviorUndecidedProvincial electionsMunicipal electionsMarch 31st 2024March 31st local electionsVote preference satisfactionCoalitionBarometer 152Aytuğ ŞaşmazAk Parti-MHP BlocAk Parti-MHP
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
58"
31 March Research Notes on Local Government Elections
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu investigates the factors determining the district-based vote rates according to the results of the March 31st Local Elections. It also evaluates the effective number of parties and local elections in Turkey:Regression analysis resultsCorrespondence analysis resultsEffective number of parties
Vote rateVoter turnoutLocal elections31 March31 March Local ElectionsKurdishHasan KirmanogluDistrictTurnoutRegressionEffective number of partiesBallot box analysisCorrespondence analysis
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
53"
Electoral Maps by Districts
In the section, the results of the March 31st Local Elections are analyzed on a district-by-district basis through maps and cartograms:2014-2019-2024 local government elections - Inter-party vote transitions in district mayorship votes2014-2019-2024 - District mayorship - Most voted party/candidate maps2019 - 2024 - Map and cartogram of party changes in district ma
March 31 local electionsAk PartiMHPCHPMunicipal electionsDistrict municipalitiesProvincial municipalitiesDem ParticartogramZafer Partisiİyi Partivote transitionsvotes turnout ratesinvalid votesinvalid vote ratesBallot box analysisballot box
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
23"
Analysis of Election Results by Socio-Economic Development Level
The section correlates the district-based results of the March 31st Local Elections with the 2022 SEGE (Socio-Economic Development Index) scores. In addition, provinces are divided into four clusters according to the number of voters and compared in terms of voter preferences:Distribution of SEGE clusters by regionsDistrict municipal council vote preferences by socio-econom
Socio-EconomicSEGE2022 SEGEŞişliHarranIstanbulŞanlıurfaElectionLocal electionDistrict-based analysisSEGE clustersCHPAk PartiCHP votersAk Parti votersVoter clustersClustersVoter sizesNumber of votersAbsentee votersInvalid votes
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'15"
Numerical Analysis of 31 March Local Elections
The section includes the number of voters and voter turnout rates by provinces and districts, invalid votes, election results and comparison of 2019 and 2024 vote rates in the March 31 Local Elections:Local elections - TurnoutDistricts with the highest turnoutDistricts with the lowest turnoutDistricts with the highest increase in turnoutDistricts
Local electionsVoterTurnoutVoter turnoutVoting31 March31 March elections31 March Local Election AnalysisVoting rate31 March Local ElectionsElection resultsInvalis votesHigh turnoutLow turnoutEastern AnatoliaSoutheastern Anatolia201920242024 Local electionsBallot boxBallot box analysis
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'05"
Winners and Losers of the Election
The section discusses who the winners and losers of the March 31st Local Elections were in the eyes of the society:Who and which politician do you think was the WINNER of these local elections?Who and which politician do you think was the LOSER of these local elections?
Winner of the ElectionLoser of the ElectionElection31st of MarchEkrem İmamoğluMansur YavaşCHPÖzgür ÖzelAk PartiRecep Tayyip ErdoğanPresidentRTEDevlet BahçeliMHPİyi PartiMeral AkşenerYeniden Refah PartisiFatih Erbakan31 March Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'01"
Political Preferences
The section examines the public's opinions on the results of the March 31st Local Elections and which party they would vote for if there was an election today:Election evaluation of the society in TurkeyWho and which politician do you think has been the LOSER of these local elections?Who do you think was the WINNER of these local elections and which politician?
If there was an election todayMarch 31Political PreferencesLocal electionsMunicipal electionsPolitical PartiesPolitical LeadersCHPAk PartyMHPİyi PartyDEMVoteVote preferenceMarch 31 Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
41"
Tracking Local Election Results
The section analyzes the channels through which respondents followed the election results:From which 2 sources did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which television channel did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which social media application or website did you follow the election results on March 31st?
Local ElectionsLocal Election Results31 March Local Election Analysis31 March electionsTelevisionInternetSocial MediaTwitter/XXTwitterFollowing the election resultsAk PartiCHPMHPDEMHDPYSPİyi PartiFOX TVNOW TVANKAANKA NewsANKA News AgencyAA Anadolu AgencyNTVTRTSHOW TVCNN TURKKANAL DATVA HABERTRT HABERSZC TVSözcü TVHalk TVTurk StarKanal 7TV100News channels
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'06"
Emotions After The Local Elections
The episode includes an analysis of the emotions felt after the March 31st Local Elections:Which 2 emotions did you feel after the election on March 31st?
Local ElectionMarch 31AngerSurpriseJoyReliefDisappointmentConcernMarch 31 local electionsElection resultCHPAk PartiDEMHDPMHPİyi PartiPost-electionPost-election emotionsEmotions after the electionMarch 31 Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
2'40"
Election Evaluations by Voters
The section analyzes respondents' evaluations of the March 31st Local Elections. The evaluations include the Ak Parti's economic management, the CHP's candidate preferences, the change of administration in the CHP, the Ak Parti's candidate preferences, the work of Ak Parti municipalities and the work of CHP municipalities:Turkish society's assessment of the electionTh
ElectionEvaluationVoterElection EvaluationAk PartiCHPMHPNew administrationChange of administrationChange of administration in CHPCHP candidatesCandidateCandidate listCHP wonAk Parti lostAk Parti administrationGovernmentAfter the local electionsWrong candidateRight candidateMunicipalismGood municipalismCHP municipalitiesAk Parti municipalities
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
2'10"
Scorecards of Politicians Regarding Their Performances During the Election Period
In addition to Erdoğan's scorecard, which is released every month, the section analyzes the scorecard grades given by the participants to political party leaders and the two prominent candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu and Mansur Yavaş during the local election process:Average scorecard grades for the election process.Yavaş's scorecardİmamoğlu's scorecardErbakan's
“We Are Candidates By Destiny”: While Going To An Election Where We Are Elected While Electing
Bölümde, belediye meclis üye sayıları ve yerel seçime dair genel bir çerçeve çiziliyor.
Nasipse AdayızErcan KesalLocal ElectionsMunicipal ElectionsProvincial CouncilProvinceDistrictLocalDistrict CandidateCouncil MembersNumber of Provincial Council MembersAk PartiMHPCHPİyi PartiHDPDEMProvincial PopulationDistrict PopulationIstanbulIstanbul ElectionsIstanbul Provincial CouncilIstanbul District CouncilDistrict Municipal CouncilDistricts of IstanbulIstanbul Districts
March'24 Barometer - 151
₺
29 Mar 2024
3'08"
Political Preferences in Istanbul
The section focuses on which party the respondents would vote for if there was a general election today, their local election voting preferences in Istanbul, the course of political preferences in Istanbul, who will win the IBB Presidency, voter turnout, local election voting behavior and voter profiles:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preferenc
March 31 Local ElectionsElectionVoteUndecided VotersVoterVoter ProfileIMM MayoraltyIMM MayorEkrem İmamoğluMurat KurumMeral Danış BeştaşBuğra KavuncuBirol AydınMehmet AltınözAzmi KaramahmutoğluCHPAK PartyUndecidedVoter Turnout
March'24 Barometer - 151
₺
29 Mar 2024
6"
Local Election Declarations of Parties
The section examines the words that stand out in the discourse of the parties in their propaganda processes before the March 31, 2024 Local Elections: The most used words in Ak Parti's local election manifesto The most used words in CHP's local election manifesto The most used words in Dem Party's local election manifesto
Ak PartiCHPHDPDem PartiDiscoursePropagandaDeclarationManifestoParty ManifestoMarch 312024March 31 ElectionsLocal ElectionMarch 31 Local ElectionsLocal Government
February'24 Barometer - 150
₺
29 Feb 2024
59"
Analysis of Speeches of Political Party Leaders
In this section, we conducted a discourse analysis using the 'lexical method' on the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders, as well as the speeches made by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan after cabinet meetings and his statements regarding the local elections
Political leadersPoliticians' discourseDiscourse AnalysisPopulismRecep Tayyip ErdoğanDevlet BahçeliÖzgür ÖzelMeral AkşenerDEM Party SpokespersonsEconomyEmploymentMigrationTerrorismPublic orderEnvironment/ClimateEnergyEducationLocal electionsMetropolitan cityTurkeyTurkishRetiredKurdishManichean discourseAnti-elitism
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
₺
31 Jan 2024
1'12"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, President Erdoğan's scorecard, the characteristics they think a politician should have, and where they see themselves and their families on the left-right scale:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)Whic
ElectionsLEFTRIGHTLeft and RightLeft-RightLeft-Right ScaleVoter profileLeft voterRight voterLeftistRightistLeft-Right tendency
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
₺
31 Jan 2024
1'02"
Analysis of Political Party Leaders' Speeches
The section analyzes the discourses in the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's speeches following the cabinet meetings using the “dictionary method”:Populism scores of political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of 8 different topics in political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of the topics men
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu examines the demographic characteristics and tendencies of voters who identify themselves as “swing” and “non-voters” through regression analysis.
UndecidedNon votersAk PartiCHPAk Parti votersCHP votersPolarizationPolitical PolarizationRight-Left ScaleHasan Kirmanoglu
December'23 Barometer - 148
₺
31 Dec 2023
2'56"
Political Efficacy
In this section, respondents are asked four different questions to explore their beliefs about their political efficacy. The questions measure how they perceive their ability to understand and evaluate important political issues, and how confident they feel about participating in political discussions. In addition, by asking their opinions on whether politicians stay in close contact with the p
Perceived political efficacyConfidence in understanding political issuesConfidence in political discussionPerception of public-politician connectionPerceived value of ordinary people’s opinionsNebi Sümer
December'23 Barometer - 148
₺
31 Dec 2023
3'54"
The Impact of Özgür Özel on Politics
The section examines how the leadership change in the CHP (Republican People's Party) from Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu to Özgür Özel has been received by the public from 2010 to 2023, along with how society evaluates Özgür Özel as a politician:Who is Özgür Özel?Did the replacement of Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu with Özgür Özel in CHP change your voting preference?How do you think Öz
Özgür Özel's recognitionImpact of leadership change on vote preferenceÖzgür Özel's impact on CHPExpectations of policy and discourse changePerception of Özgür Özel's sincerityPerception of Özgür Özel's competenceÖzgür Özel scorecard gradeEffect of CHP leadership change on other parties’ vote shares
December'23 Barometer - 148
₺
31 Dec 2023
1'55"
Political Preferences
The section covers participants' current party preferences if there were an election today, where they place themselves on the left-right spectrum, the identities/labels they use to describe themselves, how much they like Erdoğan, and scorecard ratings for Erdoğan, Özgür Özel, and Ali Yerlikaya:If there were an election today, which party would you vote for? (both direct preference and after di
Party preferencesDistribution of undecided votersLeft-right political spectrumPolitical identity labelsErdoğan favorabilityErdoğan scorecard gradeÖzgür Özel scorecard gradeAli Yerlikaya scorecard grade
November'23 Barometer - 147
₺
30 Nov 2023
7"
Political Preferences
This section examines the political preference findings of the KONDA Barometer survey for November 2023. The fieldwork, which coincided with the week of the convention at which Özgür Özel was elected CHP Chairman, addresses political preferences in society, undecided voter rates, and changes in party affiliations:If there were an election today, who would you vote for, which part
Political PreferencesElection SurveyVote SharesUndecided VotersParty PreferencesTurkish PoliticsVoter BehaviorsParty LoyaltyYoung Voters
640 ₺
November'23 Barometer - 147
30 Nov 2023
1'39"
KONDA Biopsy Report
The section analyzes the “Biopsy Report,” which examines the discrepancy between the results of KONDA's field research prior to the May 14, 2023 general elections and the actual election results. The study addresses claims regarding the power of polls to influence public opinion and emphasizes the need for a methodological discussion of the issue. The report questions processes such as methodol
The Relationship between the Ruling Bloc's Vote Change and Some Economic Indicators
This section analyzes the course of change in the direct vote share of the Ak Parti and MHP according to the dollar exchange rate, consumer confidence index and the expectation of an economic crisis in Turkey:Changes in the direct vote share of the Ak Parti and MHP according to the dollar exchange rate, consumer confidence index and the expectation of an economic crisis in Turkey.
This section examines voters' current political preferences, their tendency to vote, their ideological positions, voter behavior clusters, and their assessments of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's political performance:If there were an election today, who or which party would you vote for?If there were an election today, would you go to the polls to vote based on your current mood?
ChatGPT:Presidential PreferencesPolitical Identity DefinitionsLeft-Right SpectrumVoter BehaviorsVoter SegmentationIntra-Party Voter ProfilesDynamics of Political PreferencesEvaluation of ErdoğanPossible Effects of Election ResultsTurkey’s Political FutureBarometer December '22Barometer 137Election TrendsMotivation to Vote
December'22 Barometer - 137
₺
30 Dec 2022
1'11"
Negative Party Identity in Turkey
In this section, we look at how negative identity has become a key factor in Turkish politics, including how it affects voters' party and leader choices, their attitudes toward the ruling and opposition blocs, the profiles of young voters, and the dynamics of political distancing based on ethnic origin.The Key Dynamic in Turkish Politics: Negative IdentityIf electio
Barometer 137Negative Identification and Electoral ChoiceAK Parti Voter TendencyMHP Voter TendencyCHP Voter TendencyİYİ Parti Voter TendencySaadet Voter TendencyDEVA Parti Voter TendencyGelecek Partisi Voter TendencyYeniden Refah Voter Tendencyİşçi Partisi of Turkey Voter TendencyGovernment BlocOpposition BlocOther Political PartiesYoung Voter BehaviorsPolitical Identity Among NEET YouthEthnic Identity and Political PreferenceSupport for Recep Tayyip ErdoğanSupport for Kemal KılıçdaroğluSupport for Ekrem İmamoğluSupport for Mansur YavaşSupport for Meral AkşenerDecember 2022 Barometer