Elections
Voting preferences and expectations for general elections; local elections and referendums; detailed post-election ballot box analysis and change maps.
36 Results
February'25 Barometer - 161
₺
28 Feb 2025
37"
Political Preferences
The section analyzes and evaluates which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they would like to govern Turkey and th
Siyaset
Oy tercihi
Seçim
Erdoğan
RTE
Cumhurbaşkanı
Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Erdoğan karne
Türkiye'yi kim yönetsin?
Devlet Bahçeli
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Mansur Yavaş
Müsavat Dervişoğlu
Özgür Özel
Selahattin Demirtaş
Ümit Özdağ
Barometre 161
January'25 Barometer - 160
₺
31 Jan 2025
50"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey, their expectations for ea
Politics
Vote preference
Election
Erdogan
RTE
President
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
Erdogan report card
Early election
Constitutional amendment
Who should govern Turkey?
Devlet Bahceli
Ekrem İmamoglu
Fatih Erbakan
Mansur Yavas
Müsavat Dervisoglu
Ozgur Ozel
Selahattin Demirtas
Umit Ozdag
Barometer160
KONDA Barometer 2024 Almanac
₺
31 Dec 2024
1'05"
How did KONDA Barometer spend the year 2024?
As we leave the year behind, we wanted to take stock of how KONDA Barometer spent the year 2024. Since March 2010, KOND
Almanac
Barometer
November'24 Barometer - 158
₺
30 Nov 2024
1'11"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey and President Erdoğan's report card:Which party
If there were an election today
Who should govern Turkey
Devlet Bahçeli
Fatih Erbakan
Mansur Yavaş
Özgür Özel
Müsavat Dervişoğlu
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Selahattin Demirtaş
Ümit Özdağ
Presidency
Election
Presidential Election
Political Leaders
Leaders
Erdoğan's report card
Report card
President's report card
Ekrem İmamoğlu
July'24 Barometer - 155
₺
31 Jul 2024
1'24"
Political Preferences
This section examines participants' voting preferences if an election were held today, as well as their evaluations of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Min
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Hasan Kirmanoğlu
Vote Preference
Mehmet Şimşek report card
Erdoğan's report card
President
Minister of Treasury and Finance
Inflation
Economy
Governance
Duty
June'24 Barometer - 154
₺
28 Jun 2024
49"
Political Preferences
The section includes participants' preferred political party if an election were held today, their self-placement on the left-right political spectrum, and t
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
AKP
CHP
MHP
HDP
DEM
İYİP
Vote preference
Right-Left
Right-Left Scale
Erdoğan's report card
President report card
AK Party
Good Party
Victory Party
ZP
YRP
Swing voters
Non voters
Election
May'24 Barometer - 153
₺
31 May 2024
18"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today and President Erdoğan's report card.Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)What is your report card grade on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's performance as president?
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
23"
Analysis of Election Results by Socio-Economic Development Level
The section correlates the district-based results of the March 31st Local Elections with the 2022 SEGE (Socio-Economic Development Index) scores. In addition, provinces are divided into four clusters according to the number of voters and compared in terms of voter preferences:Distribution of SEGE clusters by regionsDistrict municipal council vote preferences by socio-econom
Socio-Economic
SEGE
2022 SEGE
Şişli
Harran
Istanbul
Şanlıurfa
Election
Local election
District-based analysis
SEGE clusters
CHP
Ak Parti
CHP voters
Ak Parti voters
Voter clusters
Clusters
Voter sizes
Number of voters
Absentee voters
Invalid votes
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
58"
31 March Research Notes on Local Government Elections
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu investigates the factors determining the district-based vote rates according to the results of the March 31st Local Elections. It also evaluates the effective number of parties and local elections in Turkey:Regression analysis resultsCorrespondence analysis resultsEffective number of parties
Vote rate
Voter turnout
Local elections
31 March
31 March Local Elections
Kurdish
Hasan Kirmanoglu
District
Turnout
Regression
Effective number of parties
Ballot box analysis
Correspondence analysis
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
53"
Electoral Maps by Districts
In the section, the results of the March 31st Local Elections are analyzed on a district-by-district basis through maps and cartograms:2014-2019-2024 local government elections - Inter-party vote transitions in district mayorship votes2014-2019-2024 - District mayorship - Most voted party/candidate maps2019 - 2024 - Map and cartogram of party changes in district ma
March 31 local elections
Ak Parti
MHP
CHP
Municipal elections
District municipalities
Provincial municipalities
Dem Parti
cartogram
Zafer Partisi
İyi Parti
vote transitions
votes turnout rates
invalid votes
invalid vote rates
Ballot box analysis
ballot box
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'15"
Numerical Analysis of 31 March Local Elections
The section includes the number of voters and voter turnout rates by provinces and districts, invalid votes, election results and comparison of 2019 and 2024 vote rates in the March 31 Local Elections:Local elections - TurnoutDistricts with the highest turnoutDistricts with the lowest turnoutDistricts with the highest increase in turnoutDistricts
Local elections
Voter
Turnout
Voter turnout
Voting
31 March
31 March elections
31 March Local Election Analysis
Voting rate
31 March Local Elections
Election results
Invalis votes
High turnout
Low turnout
Eastern Anatolia
Southeastern Anatolia
2019
2024
2024 Local elections
Ballot box
Ballot box analysis
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'54"
Post-Election Expectations
The section examines the expectations of the society after the March 31st Local Elections under the headings of political polarization, national economy, Kurdish issue, municipal services, freedoms, country governance, interference in lifestyle and municipality-government relations:How will municipal services change?How will freedoms change?How will municipality-go
Political polarization
Polarization
Kurdish issue
Kurdish problem
Kurdish
Economy
Country's economy
Dollar
Euro
Exchange rate difference
Municipality
Local government
Government
Municipality and government
Service
Municipal service
Local government service
Improvement
Worsening
Government administration
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
2'40"
Election Evaluations by Voters
The section analyzes respondents' evaluations of the March 31st Local Elections. The evaluations include the Ak Parti's economic management, the CHP's candidate preferences, the change of administration in the CHP, the Ak Parti's candidate preferences, the work of Ak Parti municipalities and the work of CHP municipalities:Turkish society's assessment of the electionTh
Election
Evaluation
Voter
Election Evaluation
Ak Parti
CHP
MHP
New administration
Change of administration
Change of administration in CHP
CHP candidates
Candidate
Candidate list
CHP won
Ak Parti lost
Ak Parti administration
Government
After the local elections
Wrong candidate
Right candidate
Municipalism
Good municipalism
CHP municipalities
Ak Parti municipalities
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'05"
Winners and Losers of the Election
The section discusses who the winners and losers of the March 31st Local Elections were in the eyes of the society:Who and which politician do you think was the WINNER of these local elections?Who and which politician do you think was the LOSER of these local elections?
Winner of the Election
Loser of the Election
Election
31st of March
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Mansur Yavaş
CHP
Özgür Özel
Ak Parti
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
President
RTE
Devlet Bahçeli
MHP
İyi Parti
Meral Akşener
Yeniden Refah Partisi
Fatih Erbakan
31 March Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'06"
Emotions After The Local Elections
The episode includes an analysis of the emotions felt after the March 31st Local Elections:Which 2 emotions did you feel after the election on March 31st?
Local Election
March 31
Anger
Surprise
Joy
Relief
Disappointment
Concern
March 31 local elections
Election result
CHP
Ak Parti
DEM
HDP
MHP
İyi Parti
Post-election
Post-election emotions
Emotions after the election
March 31 Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
41"
Tracking Local Election Results
The section analyzes the channels through which respondents followed the election results:From which 2 sources did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which television channel did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which social media application or website did you follow the election results on March 31st?
Local Elections
Local Election Results
31 March Local Election Analysis
31 March elections
Television
Internet
Social Media
Twitter/X
X
Twitter
Following the election results
Ak Parti
CHP
MHP
DEM
HDP
YSP
İyi Parti
FOX TV
NOW TV
ANKA
ANKA News
ANKA News Agency
AA Anadolu Agency
NTV
TRT
SHOW TV
CNN TURK
KANAL D
ATV
A HABER
TRT HABER
SZC TV
Sözcü TV
Halk TV
Turk Star
Kanal 7
TV100
News channels
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
2'09"
Local Elections
The section examines tactical voting in the March 31st Local Elections, satisfaction with vote choice, and the time when vote choice is decided. Also, Assistant Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz from Bryn Mawr College Assoc. Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz discusses the voters who broke away from the Ak Parti -MHP bloc:In the March 31st Local Elections, which party's candidate did you vote for for the
Local Elections
March 31st
CHP
Tactical Vote
Vote behavior
Undecided
Provincial elections
Municipal elections
March 31st 2024
March 31st local elections
Vote preference satisfaction
Coalition
Barometer 152
Aytuğ Şaşmaz
Ak Parti-MHP Bloc
Ak Parti-MHP
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
1'01"
Political Preferences
The section examines the public's opinions on the results of the March 31st Local Elections and which party they would vote for if there was an election today:Election evaluation of the society in TurkeyWho and which politician do you think has been the LOSER of these local elections?Who do you think was the WINNER of these local elections and which politician?
If there was an election today
March 31
Political Preferences
Local elections
Municipal elections
Political Parties
Political Leaders
CHP
Ak Party
MHP
İyi Party
DEM
Vote
Vote preference
March 31 Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
₺
30 Apr 2024
2'10"
Scorecards of Politicians Regarding Their Performances During the Election Period
In addition to Erdoğan's scorecard, which is released every month, the section analyzes the scorecard grades given by the participants to political party leaders and the two prominent candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu and Mansur Yavaş during the local election process:Average scorecard grades for the election process.Yavaş's scorecardİmamoğlu's scorecardErbakan's
Political Leaders
Party Leaders
Election process
March 31st elections
Local Elections
RTE
President
President Erdoğan
Imamoğlu
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Mansur Yavaş
İBB
ABB
Istanbul
Ankara
Municipality elections
Meral Akşener
Fatih Erbakan
Akşener
Erbakan
Tülay Hatimoğulları
DEM Parti
HDP
Özgür Özel
CHP
Tactical vote
Tuncer Bakırhan
Scorecard
Scorecard grades
March'24 Barometer - 151
₺
29 Mar 2024
25"
How The Two Candidates In Istanbul Are Local Positioned In Terms Of Contradictions Across Turkey?
In the episode, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu gives his assessments on the prominent candidates in Istanbul in the upcoming local elections.
Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu
Hasan Kirmanoğlu
Local Election
Local Elections
Municipal Elections
Municipal Election
Candidates
Local Election Candidates
Candidate Evaluation
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Murat Kurum
İmamoğlu
Kurum
IMM
Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality
Istanbul Elections
Istanbul Candidates
March Elections
March'24 Barometer - 151
₺
29 Mar 2024
4'26"
Assessment of Candidates for the IMM Presidency
The section examines the evaluations of Istanbul residents on the candidates announced before the March 31st Local Elections and their thoughts on post-election scenarios:Which candidate do you think is more suitable for the following characteristics?Which candidate do you think is more suitable for the characteristic "honest"?"Skilled in problem solving" is more s
IMM
Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality
Istanbul Elections
Istanbul Election Candidates
IMM Candidates
Local Elections
Istanbul Municipal Election
Istanbul Election Nominees
Local Election Candidates
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Murat Kurum
Oratory
Istanbul
Problems of Istanbul
Honest
Sincere
Buğra Kavuncu
Meral Danış Beştaş
Mehmet Altınöz
Sinem Dedetaş
Mahir Polat
Deniz Köken
Ahmet Özer
Mehmet Tevfik Göksu
Rıza Akpolat
March'24 Barometer - 151
₺
29 Mar 2024
3'08"
Political Preferences in Istanbul
The section focuses on which party the respondents would vote for if there was a general election today, their local election voting preferences in Istanbul, the course of political preferences in Istanbul, who will win the IBB Presidency, voter turnout, local election voting behavior and voter profiles:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preferenc
March 31 Local Elections
Election
Vote
Undecided Voters
Voter
Voter Profile
IMM Mayoralty
IMM Mayor
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Murat Kurum
Meral Danış Beştaş
Buğra Kavuncu
Birol Aydın
Mehmet Altınöz
Azmi Karamahmutoğlu
CHP
AK Party
Undecided
Voter Turnout
March'24 Barometer - 151
₺
29 Mar 2024
50"
“We Are Candidates By Destiny”: While Going To An Election Where We Are Elected While Electing
Bölümde, belediye meclis üye sayıları ve yerel seçime dair genel bir çerçeve çiziliyor.
Nasipse Adayız
Ercan Kesal
Local Elections
Municipal Elections
Provincial Council
Province
District
Local
District Candidate
Council Members
Number of Provincial Council Members
Ak Parti
MHP
CHP
İyi Parti
HDP
DEM
Provincial Population
District Population
Istanbul
Istanbul Elections
Istanbul Provincial Council
Istanbul District Council
District Municipal Council
Districts of Istanbul
Istanbul Districts
February'24 Barometer - 150
₺
29 Feb 2024
3'10"
Voting Preferences in Local Elections
The section examines the factors affecting voters' voting preferences in local elections and the correlation between these preferences and voter clusters as the March 31st local elections approach:If a local election were held today, who would you vote for and which party would you vote for?Which explains your vote preference in local elections?When you vote for th
General election
Local election
Vote preference
Party affiliation
Ruling party
Mayoral candidate
Urban life
Urban satisfaction
City life facilities
Municipality facilities
Voter profile
Voter satisfaction
Municipality satisfaction
Local election vote preference
Political party decisions
February'24 Barometer - 150
₺
29 Feb 2024
1'24"
Political Preferences
The section analyzes and evaluates which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, the report card grade they gave to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and their views on the current economic management:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)In general, which of the following
Political Preferences
Vote preference
Election
General election
Parliamentary election
Party preference
Voter Behavior
Erdogan scorecard
President Erdoğan
Economic management
Economic prosperity
Ideological voter
Last minute voter
Voter
Leader
Fan
Fan voter
Voter clusters
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
₺
31 Jan 2024
1'02"
Analysis of Political Party Leaders' Speeches
The section analyzes the discourses in the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's speeches following the cabinet meetings using the “dictionary method”:Populism scores of political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of 8 different topics in political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of the topics men
Leaders
Discourse analysis
Local elections
March 31st elections
Election discourses
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
President
Meral Akşener
Devlet Bahçeli
Özgür Özel
İyi Parti
MHP
Terror
Turkey
Budget
Martyr
Ak Parti
CHP
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
₺
31 Jan 2024
1'01"
Observations on Non-Polarized Voters
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu examines the demographic characteristics and tendencies of voters who identify themselves as “swing” and “non-voters” through regression analysis.
Undecided
Non voters
Ak Parti
CHP
Ak Parti voters
CHP voters
Polarization
Political Polarization
Right-Left Scale
Hasan Kirmanoglu
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
₺
31 Jan 2024
1'12"
Political Preferences
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, President Erdoğan's scorecard, the characteristics they think a politician should have, and where they see themselves and their families on the left-right scale:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)Whic
Elections
LEFT
RIGHT
Left and Right
Left-Right
Left-Right Scale
Voter profile
Left voter
Right voter
Leftist
Rightist
Left-Right tendency
December'23 Barometer - 148
₺
31 Dec 2023
26"
Society’s 2023 Agenda: Events That Sticked in Mind
This section explores which events from 2023 stood out the most in people's memories when they think about what happened in the country in 2024:What was the most significant event in the country that remained in your mind from 2023? (open-ended)
The year of 2023
Memorable events
February 6 earthquake
February 6–7 earthquakes
Kahramanmaraş earthquakes
Collective memory
Most significant event of 2023
Perception of major societal events
Open-ended memory question
Highlights of Turkey’s public agenda
December'23 Barometer - 148
₺
31 Dec 2023
30"
Local Election Calendar
The section covers important developments regarding local elections as of January 1, 2024.
March 31st elections
March 31st local elections
Local Election
December'23 Barometer - 148
₺
31 Dec 2023
1'55"
Political Preferences
The section covers participants' current party preferences if there were an election today, where they place themselves on the left-right spectrum, the identities/labels they use to describe themselves, how much they like Erdoğan, and scorecard ratings for Erdoğan, Özgür Özel, and Ali Yerlikaya:If there were an election today, which party would you vote for? (both direct preference and after di
Party preferences
Distribution of undecided voters
Left-right political spectrum
Political identity labels
Erdoğan favorability
Erdoğan scorecard grade
Özgür Özel scorecard grade
Ali Yerlikaya scorecard grade
640 ₺
November'23 Barometer - 147
30 Nov 2023
1'39"
KONDA Biopsy Report
The section analyzes the “Biopsy Report,” which examines the discrepancy between the results of KONDA's field research prior to the May 14, 2023 general elections and the actual election results. The study addresses claims regarding the power of polls to influence public opinion and emphasizes the need for a methodological discussion of the issue. The report questions processes such as methodol
KONDA
Biopsy Report
Election Survey
Methodology
Sampling Design
Weighting
Demographic Variables
Education
Age
May 14th Election
February'23 Barometer - 139
₺
28 Feb 2023
1'20"
The Effect of Natural Disasters on Voting Behavior: A Literature Review
This section analyzes the impact of natural disasters on voting habits and examines the concept of “voter gratitude”.
earthquake
natural disaster
earthquake and election
Barometer139
voter gratitude
impact of the earthquake
February'23 Barometer - 139
₺
28 Feb 2023
59"
The Relationship between the Ruling Bloc's Vote Change and Some Economic Indicators
This section analyzes the course of change in the direct vote share of the Ak Parti and MHP according to the dollar exchange rate, consumer confidence index and the expectation of an economic crisis in Turkey:Changes in the direct vote share of the Ak Parti and MHP according to the dollar exchange rate, consumer confidence index and the expectation of an economic crisis in Turkey.
exchange rate
consumer confidence index
economic crisis
expectation of economic crisis
AK Party
MHP
ruling bloc
vote shift
December'22 Barometer - 137
₺
30 Dec 2022
12"
Political Preferences
This section examines voters' current political preferences, their tendency to vote, their ideological positions, voter behavior clusters, and their assessments of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's political performance:If there were an election today, who or which party would you vote for?If there were an election today, would you go to the polls to vote based on your current mood?
ChatGPT:
Presidential Preferences
Political Identity Definitions
Left-Right Spectrum
Voter Behaviors
Voter Segmentation
Intra-Party Voter Profiles
Dynamics of Political Preferences
Evaluation of Erdoğan
Possible Effects of Election Results
Turkey’s Political Future
Barometer December '22
Barometer 137
Election Trends
Motivation to Vote
December'22 Barometer - 137
₺
30 Dec 2022
1'11"
Negative Party Identity in Turkey
In this section, we look at how negative identity has become a key factor in Turkish politics, including how it affects voters' party and leader choices, their attitudes toward the ruling and opposition blocs, the profiles of young voters, and the dynamics of political distancing based on ethnic origin.The Key Dynamic in Turkish Politics: Negative IdentityIf electio
Barometer 137
Negative Identification and Electoral Choice
AK Parti Voter Tendency
MHP Voter Tendency
CHP Voter Tendency
İYİ Parti Voter Tendency
Saadet Voter Tendency
DEVA Parti Voter Tendency
Gelecek Partisi Voter Tendency
Yeniden Refah Voter Tendency
İşçi Partisi of Turkey Voter Tendency
Government Bloc
Opposition Bloc
Other Political Parties
Young Voter Behaviors
Political Identity Among NEET Youth
Ethnic Identity and Political Preference
Support for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Support for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu
Support for Ekrem İmamoğlu
Support for Mansur Yavaş
Support for Meral Akşener
December 2022 Barometer
