Electoral Profiles

Demographic profiles of party voter bases and swing voters; factors determining their voting preferences; their opinions about party leaders

27 Results
By Date By Relevance
640 ₺
June'25 Barometer - 165
30 Jun 2025
13"

Political and Economic Expectation

This section analyzes how society's economic and political expectations have been shaped as of June 2025 and how these have changed over the years:How will government policies affect the national economy in the coming year? How will government policies affect your family budget in the coming year? What developments will occur in the coming period?: The country
640 ₺
June'25 Barometer - 165
30 Jun 2025
24"

Political Preferences

This section includes analyses and evaluations of which party participants would prefer to vote for if an election were held today, who they want to lead Türkiye, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:If an election were held today, which party would you vote for? (direct choices and undecide
Ak Parti CHP MHP Dem Parti HDP Zafer Partisi İyi parti Kararsızlar Siyasi tercihler Siyaset Oy Seçim Karne Karne notu Erdoğan'ın karnesi Ekrem İmamoğlu Mansur Yavaş Özgür Özel Cumhurbaşkanlığı Aday Güçlü devlet İstikrarlı ekonomi İnsancıl toplum Seçmen davranışı Oy verme davranışı Tarftar seçmen İdeolojik seçmen Son dakikacı İdeoloji
May'25 Barometer - 164
30 May 2025
1'30"

Political Preferences

The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there was an election today, who they want to govern Türkiye, the possible Presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and the analysis and evaluation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and
Voter tendencies Party preferences Distribution of undecided voters Leadership preferences Presidential election scenarios Erdoğan–İmamoğlu comparison Report card for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Evaluation of presidential performance Erdoğan's reelection prospects Election outcome expectations Perceptions of Turkey's future Political polarization Analysis of election scenarios
April'25 Barometer - 163
30 Apr 2025
1'22"

Political Preferences

The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there was an election today, who they want to govern Türkiye, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and analysis and evaluations of the report card grades of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and CHP Chairman Özgür Özel:Which party would you vote for if there was an election
March'25 Barometer - 162
31 Mar 2025
1'20"

Political Preferences

The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there were an election today, who they want to govern Turkey, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and an analysis and evaluation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:Which party would you vote for if there were an election today? (direct preference and s
January'25 Barometer - 160
31 Jan 2025
50"

Political Preferences

The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey, their expectations for ea
Politics Vote preference Election Erdogan RTE President President Recep Tayyip Erdogan Erdogan report card Early election Constitutional amendment Who should govern Turkey? Devlet Bahceli Ekrem İmamoglu Fatih Erbakan Mansur Yavas Müsavat Dervisoglu Ozgur Ozel Selahattin Demirtas Umit Ozdag Barometer160
KONDA Barometer 2024 Almanac
31 Dec 2024
1'05"

How did KONDA Barometer spend the year 2024?

As we leave the year behind, we wanted to take stock of how KONDA Barometer spent the year 2024. Since March 2010, KOND
Almanac Barometer
July'24 Barometer - 155
31 Jul 2024
1'24"

Political Preferences

This section examines participants' voting preferences if an election were held today, as well as their evaluations of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Min
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Hasan Kirmanoğlu Vote Preference Mehmet Şimşek report card Erdoğan's report card President Minister of Treasury and Finance Inflation Economy Governance Duty
June'24 Barometer - 154
28 Jun 2024
49"

Political Preferences

The section includes participants' preferred political party if an election were held today, their self-placement on the left-right political spectrum, and t
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan AKP CHP MHP HDP DEM İYİP Vote preference Right-Left Right-Left Scale Erdoğan's report card President report card AK Party Good Party Victory Party ZP YRP Swing voters Non voters Election
May'24 Barometer - 153
31 May 2024
35"

Comparative Advantage, Political Polarization and Economic Voting

Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu evaluates political polarization in Turkey by analyzing KONDA's monthly data from March 2012 to May 2024:Comparative advantage of swing voters for CHP voters over Ak Parti voters.
CHP Ak Parti Undecided Hasan Kirmanoglu Voter profile Tendency Swing voters
April'24 Barometer - 152
30 Apr 2024
2'40"

Election Evaluations by Voters

The section analyzes respondents' evaluations of the March 31st Local Elections. The evaluations include the Ak Parti's economic management, the CHP's candidate preferences, the change of administration in the CHP,  the Ak Parti's candidate preferences, the work of Ak Parti municipalities and the work of CHP municipalities:Turkish society's assessment of the electionTh
Election Evaluation Voter Election Evaluation Ak Parti CHP MHP New administration Change of administration Change of administration in CHP CHP candidates Candidate Candidate list CHP won Ak Parti lost Ak Parti administration Government After the local elections Wrong candidate Right candidate Municipalism Good municipalism CHP municipalities Ak Parti municipalities
April'24 Barometer - 152
30 Apr 2024
1'01"

Political Preferences

The section examines the public's opinions on the results of the March 31st Local Elections and which party they would vote for if there was an election today:Election evaluation of the society in TurkeyWho and which politician do you think has been the LOSER of these local elections?Who do you think was the WINNER of these local elections and which politician?
If there was an election today March 31 Political Preferences Local elections Municipal elections Political Parties Political Leaders CHP Ak Party MHP İyi Party DEM Vote Vote preference March 31 Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
30 Apr 2024
2'09"

Local Elections

The section examines tactical voting in the March 31st Local Elections, satisfaction with vote choice, and the time when vote choice is decided. Also, Assistant Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz from Bryn Mawr College Assoc. Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz discusses the voters who broke away from the Ak Parti -MHP bloc:In the March 31st Local Elections, which party's candidate did you vote for for the
Local Elections March 31st CHP Tactical Vote Vote behavior Undecided Provincial elections Municipal elections March 31st 2024 March 31st local elections Vote preference satisfaction Coalition Barometer 152 Aytuğ Şaşmaz Ak Parti-MHP Bloc Ak Parti-MHP
April'24 Barometer - 152
30 Apr 2024
23"

Analysis of Election Results by Socio-Economic Development Level

The section correlates the district-based results of the March 31st Local Elections with the 2022 SEGE (Socio-Economic Development Index) scores. In addition, provinces are divided into four clusters according to the number of voters and compared in terms of voter preferences:Distribution of SEGE clusters by regionsDistrict municipal council vote preferences by socio-econom
Socio-Economic SEGE 2022 SEGE Şişli Harran Istanbul Şanlıurfa Election Local election District-based analysis SEGE clusters CHP Ak Parti CHP voters Ak Parti voters Voter clusters Clusters Voter sizes Number of voters Absentee voters Invalid votes
April'24 Barometer - 152
30 Apr 2024
1'54"

Post-Election Expectations

The section examines the expectations of the society after the March 31st Local Elections under the headings of political polarization, national economy, Kurdish issue, municipal services, freedoms, country governance, interference in lifestyle and municipality-government relations:How will municipal services change?How will freedoms change?How will municipality-go
Political polarization Polarization Kurdish issue Kurdish problem Kurdish Economy Country's economy Dollar Euro Exchange rate difference Municipality Local government Government Municipality and government Service Municipal service Local government service Improvement Worsening Government administration
April'24 Barometer - 152
30 Apr 2024
1'06"

Emotions After The Local Elections

The episode includes an analysis of the emotions felt after the March 31st Local Elections:Which 2 emotions did you feel after the election on March 31st?
Local Election March 31 Anger Surprise Joy Relief Disappointment Concern March 31 local elections Election result CHP Ak Parti DEM HDP MHP İyi Parti Post-election Post-election emotions Emotions after the election March 31 Local Elections
March'24 Barometer - 151
29 Mar 2024
3'08"

Political Preferences in Istanbul

The section focuses on which party the respondents would vote for if there was a general election today, their local election voting preferences in Istanbul, the course of political preferences in Istanbul, who will win the IBB Presidency, voter turnout, local election voting behavior and voter profiles:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preferenc
March 31 Local Elections Election Vote Undecided Voters Voter Voter Profile IMM Mayoralty IMM Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum Meral Danış Beştaş Buğra Kavuncu Birol Aydın Mehmet Altınöz Azmi Karamahmutoğlu CHP AK Party Undecided Voter Turnout
March'24 Barometer - 151
29 Mar 2024
4'26"

Assessment of Candidates for the IMM Presidency

The section examines the evaluations of Istanbul residents on the candidates announced before the March 31st Local Elections and their thoughts on post-election scenarios:Which candidate do you think is more suitable for the following characteristics?Which candidate do you think is more suitable for the characteristic "honest"?"Skilled in problem solving" is more s
IMM Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Istanbul Elections Istanbul Election Candidates IMM Candidates Local Elections Istanbul Municipal Election Istanbul Election Nominees Local Election Candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum Oratory Istanbul Problems of Istanbul Honest Sincere Buğra Kavuncu Meral Danış Beştaş Mehmet Altınöz Sinem Dedetaş Mahir Polat Deniz Köken Ahmet Özer Mehmet Tevfik Göksu Rıza Akpolat
February'24 Barometer - 150
29 Feb 2024
3'10"

Voting Preferences in Local Elections

The section examines the factors affecting voters' voting preferences in local elections and the correlation between these preferences and voter clusters as the March 31st local elections approach:If a local election were held today, who would you vote for and which party would you vote for?Which explains your vote preference in local elections?When you vote for th
General election Local election Vote preference Party affiliation Ruling party Mayoral candidate Urban life Urban satisfaction City life facilities Municipality facilities Voter profile Voter satisfaction Municipality satisfaction Local election vote preference Political party decisions
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
31 Jan 2024
1'01"

Observations on Non-Polarized Voters

In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu examines the demographic characteristics and tendencies of voters who identify themselves as “swing” and “non-voters” through regression analysis.
Undecided Non voters Ak Parti CHP Ak Parti voters CHP voters Polarization Political Polarization Right-Left Scale Hasan Kirmanoglu
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
31 Jan 2024
1'12"

Political Preferences

The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, President Erdoğan's scorecard, the characteristics they think a politician should have, and where they see themselves and their families on the left-right scale:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)Whic
Elections LEFT RIGHT Left and Right Left-Right Left-Right Scale Voter profile Left voter Right voter Leftist Rightist Left-Right tendency
December'23 Barometer - 148
31 Dec 2023
3'54"

The Impact of Özgür Özel on Politics

The section examines how the leadership change in the CHP (Republican People's Party) from Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu to Özgür Özel has been received by the public from 2010 to 2023, along with how society evaluates Özgür Özel as a politician:Who is Özgür Özel?Did the replacement of Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu with Özgür Özel in CHP change your voting preference?How do you think Öz
Özgür Özel's recognition Impact of leadership change on vote preference Özgür Özel's impact on CHP Expectations of policy and discourse change Perception of Özgür Özel's sincerity Perception of Özgür Özel's competence Özgür Özel scorecard grade Effect of CHP leadership change on other parties’ vote shares
December'23 Barometer - 148
31 Dec 2023
1'55"

Political Preferences

The section covers participants' current party preferences if there were an election today, where they place themselves on the left-right spectrum, the identities/labels they use to describe themselves, how much they like Erdoğan, and scorecard ratings for Erdoğan, Özgür Özel, and Ali Yerlikaya:If there were an election today, which party would you vote for? (both direct preference and after di
Party preferences Distribution of undecided voters Left-right political spectrum Political identity labels Erdoğan favorability Erdoğan scorecard grade Özgür Özel scorecard grade Ali Yerlikaya scorecard grade
November'23 Barometer - 147
30 Nov 2023
7"

Political Preferences

This section examines the political preference findings of the KONDA Barometer survey for November 2023. The fieldwork, which coincided with the week of the convention at which Özgür Özel was elected CHP Chairman, addresses political preferences in society, undecided voter rates, and changes in party affiliations:If there were an election today, who would you vote for, which part
Political Preferences Election Survey Vote Shares Undecided Voters Party Preferences Turkish Politics Voter Behaviors Party Loyalty Young Voters
December'22 Barometer - 137
30 Dec 2022
12"

Political Preferences

This section examines voters' current political preferences, their tendency to vote, their ideological positions, voter behavior clusters, and their assessments of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's political performance:If there were an election today, who or which party would you vote for?If there were an election today, would you go to the polls to vote based on your current mood?
ChatGPT: Presidential Preferences Political Identity Definitions Left-Right Spectrum Voter Behaviors Voter Segmentation Intra-Party Voter Profiles Dynamics of Political Preferences Evaluation of Erdoğan Possible Effects of Election Results Turkey’s Political Future Barometer December '22 Barometer 137 Election Trends Motivation to Vote
December'22 Barometer - 137
30 Dec 2022
1'11"

Negative Party Identity in Turkey

In this section, we look at how negative identity has become a key factor in Turkish politics, including how it affects voters' party and leader choices, their attitudes toward the ruling and opposition blocs, the profiles of young voters, and the dynamics of political distancing based on ethnic origin.The Key Dynamic in Turkish Politics: Negative IdentityIf electio
Barometer 137 Negative Identification and Electoral Choice AK Parti Voter Tendency MHP Voter Tendency CHP Voter Tendency İYİ Parti Voter Tendency Saadet Voter Tendency DEVA Parti Voter Tendency Gelecek Partisi Voter Tendency Yeniden Refah Voter Tendency İşçi Partisi of Turkey Voter Tendency Government Bloc Opposition Bloc Other Political Parties Young Voter Behaviors Political Identity Among NEET Youth Ethnic Identity and Political Preference Support for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Support for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Support for Ekrem İmamoğlu Support for Mansur Yavaş Support for Meral Akşener December 2022 Barometer
December'22 Barometer - 137
30 Dec 2022
6"

Current Politics

The chapter examines social perceptions and attitudes regarding Turkey's cross-border military operations and the state's interventions in digital spaces.What do you think about Turkey's military operation in northern Iraq called Claw-Lock?What do you think about Turkey's military operation in Syria called Operation Euphrates Shield? (February 2017)What do y
Barometer 137 December 2022 Barometer Operation Claw-Lock and Operation Euphrates Shield Turkey’s Cross-Border Military Interventions Northern Iraq Policy Syria Policy Security and Foreign Policy Public Reaction to Military Operations Social Media Access Restrictions Internet Freedom State Intervention and Freedom of Expression Security-Policy Balance Digital Rights and Censorship

Yıldız Mah. Şair Naifi Sok. No: 2 Beşiktaş / İstanbul
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