Political Preferences

SUMMARY

The chapter covers which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want governing Turkey, the change in party bases according to voter clusters and President Erdoğan's report card. The section also includes Prof. Hasan Kirmanoğlu's analysis of the Ak Parti and CHP voter clusters.

• Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)
  
• Which party can solve Turkey's most urgent and important problems? (2010-2024)
  
• In any case, regardless of the circumstances, is there a party you would not stop voting for? Which one, if any? (2014-2024)
  
• Who would you like governing Turkey? (2021-2025)
  
• What is your report card grade for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's fulfillment of his presidential duties?
  

We observe that almost every political party is losing votes, while the proportion of swing voters and non-voters is rising. The AK Party is following a relatively stable course, the CHP has reached its lowest level since the local elections, and the MHP has been experiencing a steady loss of votes for the last three months. Findings regarding voter loyalty indicate that society's bond with the political establishment continues its weakening trend; more than half of society does not have a party that they would not stop voting for. In a scenario where all potential candidates compete, the rise of those who prefer none of the possible candidates continues, while the slight decline in Erdoğan's support is observed as the continuation of an ongoing downward trend. Another finding is that the drop in Erdoğan's report card score to 2.4 points is generally driven by undecided voters and those who will not vote.